The October energy price cap, and what it is worth to an affiliate publisher

Ofgem published the price cap for 1 October to 31 December on 26 August 2026. It rises 4%, taking a typical direct debit household from £1,663 to £1,723 a year, an increase of about £60. That is one of four mornings a year when every household in Great Britain is told at once what its energy is about to cost.

No other household bill works like that. Insurance renews on whatever date the policy happened to start, so the moment is private and scattered across the year. Energy resets on a national timetable, and it does it in public.

This piece sets out what changes on 1 October and why Northern Ireland reaches its outcome by a different route. It then sets out where the value in utilities comparison sits for a publisher holding a household audience.

What changes for energy bills on 1 October?

One announcement, and the households reading it are not in the same position.

The £60 is not spread evenly across the bill. Ofgem attributes the rise to gas, where bills go up 8%, while electricity stays broadly stable. A household that does not use gas sees an increase of less than 1%.

The figure is also already net of a tax change. VAT on domestic electricity drops from 5% to 0% from 1 October 2026 until 31 March 2027. Electricity only, with gas keeping the reduced rate of 5%. Ofgem states that without that removal the cap would have been around £45 higher. The relief sits inside the £1,723 rather than arriving alongside it, suppliers apply it automatically, and it reaches customers already on fixed tariffs.

Around 22 million households sit on default tariffs and are exposed to the cap. Roughly 35%, about 11 million households, are on fixed tariffs and are not affected by this reset at all.

So a single headline figure tells a reader very little about their own bill, and in Northern Ireland it does not apply at all.

Why is Northern Ireland on a different mechanism?

Because neither the cap nor the VAT cut reaches it, and something else does instead.

The zero rate covers England, Scotland and Wales. EU VAT rules continue to apply in Northern Ireland under the Windsor Framework, so the relief cannot simply be extended there. The Northern Ireland Executive has proposed combining the funding for the VAT cut with its existing electricity bills scheme, worth around £30, and anticipates both applying from October. The funding attached to the VAT reduction is still to be confirmed by the Treasury.

The cap itself does not apply in Northern Ireland either. Energy there is regulated by the Utility Regulator, which sets the regulated tariffs on its own timetable, and its last reset took effect on 1 July 2026.

Northern Ireland also heats differently. Home heating oil warms much of the province, and because the cap covers only gas and electricity it sits outside that mechanism entirely. A comparison journey built for Great Britain has nothing to say to that reader. The same regional split runs through insurance, which an earlier piece sets out in full.

How large is UK energy comparison demand?

Steady, and concentrated in the terms that carry a transaction rather than the term the news creates.

These are UK monthly search figures from Google Ads data pulled in August 2026, with the value column indexed so that car insurance equals 100. Google buckets close variants, so these figures are deduplicated rather than summed.

Search termUK searches per monthValue index, car = 100
Compare energy prices33,10088
Compare gas and electricity22,200103
Heating oil prices Northern Ireland14,80012
Energy price cap9,90051
Switch energy supplier9,900192
Cheap electricity2,900147
Business energy comparison2,4001,154

Deduplicated, the energy cluster runs at roughly 105,000 searches a month, including the Northern Ireland heating oil term.

The columns say different things. “Energy price cap” is the term the news creates, and it carries useful volume at around half the advertiser value of a car insurance click. “Switch energy supplier” carries a third of that volume at nearly twice the value. Cap coverage brings the audience. The transactional terms are where that audience is worth something.

Advertiser value shows how hard firms compete for a customer. It is not commission, and no partner is paid it. Commercial terms are agreed directly and vary by route and line.

Which energy line is worth the most?

The business line, by a distance.

Business energy comparison runs at 2,400 searches a month at 11.5 times the advertiser value of a car insurance click. That is the highest value per click of any term measured across Seopa’s partner content. The volume is modest against a domestic term like “compare energy prices” at 33,100.

The reason is the one that makes trade insurance expensive. A business energy contract is a multi-year commitment on a cost that cannot be avoided, signed by someone whose time carries a direct hourly cost and who is answerable for the number. A domestic switch saves a household some money. A business switch changes a line in the accounts, which is why a readership with any business or trade element justifies the commercial line as well as the domestic one.

Who regulates an energy referral, and who holds the accreditation?

Energy comparison answers to Ofgem rather than to the FCA, which changes the paperwork.

Partners arriving from an insurance conversation expect the FCA permission question to follow them across. It does not. Domestic energy price comparison is not a regulated financial activity, and the accreditation that does apply belongs to Ofgem. Quotezone, the consumer brand Seopa runs, states on its own energy pages that it is an Ofgem accredited comparison site. A publisher referring that traffic is pointing it into an accredited journey, not a regulated financial one.

Under the affiliate route a tracked referral path points to the comparison journey, commission is earned on completed switches, and nothing runs inside the partner’s own pages. Under the co-branded route the journey carries the partner’s name and Seopa runs it behind. Placement follows the calendar more than the reader, because cap coverage and the winter bill period put the need in a reader’s head before the referral appears.

Why choose Seopa?

Because the reader in Belfast and the reader in Birmingham need different tables, and most platforms hold one.

Seopa operates the comparison platform behind Quotezone and CompareNI, and behind hundreds of partner front ends. Nine million quotes a year run across the platform for four million UK customers, drawing on 300+ Insurance Provider relationships built up since 2003, and covering 60+ insurance, utilities and financial products. Quotezone compares gas, electricity and business energy. CompareNI compares gas, electricity and home heating oil, which is the fuel a Northern Ireland household actually buys and which no Great Britain comparison site supports.

Seopa is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under firm reference 313860 for its insurance activity, and is certified to ISO 27001. It has held Deloitte Best Managed Companies Platinum status for three consecutive years.

Talk to the partnerships team

Energy is the only household bill that reprices on a national timetable four times a year. This October it does so alongside a tax change that works one way in Great Britain and another in Northern Ireland, and readers will go looking for an answer on both.

There are three routes onto the platform, and a referral on the affiliate route needs nothing built. Tell the partnerships team which households you reach, and whether any part of your audience runs a business or lives in Northern Ireland. They will work through the utility lines worth putting in front of them.

Frequently asked questions

Does the VAT cut mean electricity bills fall on 1 October?

Not on its own. The zero rate is already reflected in the October cap, because Ofgem states that without it the cap would have been around £45 higher. What a household sees is the net position, a rise of about £60 a year on a typical dual fuel bill, with gas doing the work.

Does Northern Ireland get nothing?

No, but it arrives by a different route. EU VAT rules continue to apply under the Windsor Framework, so the zero rate cannot be extended there. The Northern Ireland Executive has proposed combining the equivalent funding with its existing electricity scheme of around £30, and anticipates both applying from October. The Treasury has still to confirm the funding attached to the VAT reduction.

Does a partner need FCA authorisation to refer energy traffic?

No. The body that matters for energy is Ofgem, and Quotezone states that it is an Ofgem accredited comparison site, so referring energy traffic is not a regulated financial activity. A partner carrying insurance as well holds two separate regulatory positions at once, so scope both against the products going live.

Is the price cap worth building content around?

As an editorial hook, yes, and the search volume supports it. As the whole commercial case, no. “Energy price cap” carries around half the advertiser value of a car insurance click, while “switch energy supplier” carries nearly twice as much on a third of the volume. The cap coverage earns the attention, and the transactional terms earn the revenue.

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